Nate silver

With a combination of this skill[Note 1] and a bit of luck, he successfully predicted the outcome of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election with almost perfect accuracy. This was notable because at the time most mainstream media were predicting the election to be "too close to call" — Silver, on the other hand, actually looked at the data and found it to tell a different story, one where the incumbent Barack Obama had a 90% chance of winning, and by a significant margin. It was the second time he pulled this off, getting 49/50 states right in 2008.[Note 2] Nate Silver Said: 'White Liberals (Are) Likely to Leave Him So the Residue of What's Left Is More Diverse'. The controversy started when Silver was discussing Sanders' recent poll numbers in Iowa

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Nate Silver - Wikipedi

Conservative disdainedit

That's a whole lot of gorgeous looking residue right there. #ResidueForBernie https://t.co/bxu7fb3QreHe is described by Black Swan author Nassim Nicholas Taleb as "seriously knowing his shit,"[Note 3] although the two appear to disagree on how predictable the world actually is. In his book The Signal and the Noise, Silver claims that the 9/11 terrorist attack was, to a degree, predictable — and furthermore that statistics may suggest another, even larger, attack is coming within the next decade or so — while Taleb's Black Swan theory would hold that such events are outside the realm of predictability.

FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis

Heavy Bernie Sanders’ Supporters Speak Out Against Nate Silver ‘Residue’ Tweet Share on Facebook Share on Flipboard Share via E-mail More share options Share on Pinterest Share on Twitter Share on Reddit Share on WhatsApp Go to search form Search Heavy.com News Breaking News Bernie Sanders’ Supporters Speak Out Against Nate Silver ‘Residue’ Tweet Share on Facebook Share on Flipboard Share via E-mail More share options Share on Pinterest Share on Twitter Share on Reddit Share on WhatsApp 705 Shares By Stephanie Dube Dwilson Updated Sep 22, 2019 at 5:29pm Getty Senator Bernie Sanders. r/dataisbeautifulA place to share and discuss visual representations of data: Graphs, charts, maps, etc.14.5mMembers But here is the absolute, undoubted winner of this election: Nate Silver and his running mate, big This year, according to all projections, Silver's model has correctly predicted 50 out of 50 states

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  1. His tweet read: “Wrote last week how I didn’t think there was a clear dividing line between the “top tier” and the rest of the D field. But if you *had* to draw a line right now, it would probably after 2 candidates (Biden, Warren) rather than 3 or 4 or some other number.”
  2. FiveThirtyEight Debate Club: What's The Best State In The U.S.? By Tony Chow, Nate Silver, Maggie Koerth, Meena Ganesan, Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich
  3. ent. When you start talking to real voters his numbers decline. All the historical evidence suggests that he's not a Ronald Regan.
  4. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball (see sabermetrics) and elections (see psephology)
  5. Silver, while mostly accurate in his predictions, made several rather uncharacteristic mistakes during the 2016 elections. While he indicated that Hillary Clinton would win the Michigan Democratic primary[5], it actually went to Bernie Sanders - although virtually every pollster got that one wrong, so it's not entirely his fault.[6][7]

This was an especially lively week on the TED commenting front, as our community tackled debates on swine flu, race and politics, and globalization. These amazing discussions can get a little heated — so we appreciate that there always seems to be a voice of reason that emerges from the group to soothe frazzled nerves […] 185 quotes from Nate Silver: 'Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific We can't really blame anyone for losing faith when this occurs ― Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise.. level 22 points · 4 years agoAs an engineer, I find that I use more Statistics on a daily basis (even when I was doing flight controls) than I used Calculus. Both are very useful, but I wish I had a more solid stats foundation to stand on. Great question!

Nate Silver - RationalWik

  1. Nate Silver Explains The Most Important Concept In Statistics. In his new book, The Signal and the Noise, FiveThirtyEight's founder Nate Silver gives the single most coherent explanation of Bayes'..
  2. d about things more than they do. Especially in the US we have two major parties that take two unrelated sets of issues and the more "partisan" you become you are likely to have an opinion on gay marriage that correlates with your opinion on tax policy. I guess one example is I was persuaded that Democrats had a majority based on demographics, and now I think the evidence of that is less clear. Politics ebbs and flows over time.
  3. ent figures in the data community. Who would you like to see next? Add your vote here.
  4. Sanders’ supporters are taking issue to the characterization that the people of color who support him are referred to as “residue.”
  5. Sanders supporters were unhappy about this characterization and are now tweeting about it, including using the hashtag #ResidueforBernie in some of their tweets.
  6. utes against Japan. I think that's never happened before so in that case that was an anomaly that I really liked.
  7. He wrote: “Put another way, Sanders is doing worse among blacks and Hispanics than in 2016, but he’s doing *much* worse among whites, among whom he overperformed last time. That’s the sense in which his support is more diverse, not in his actually having made inroads with voters of color.

Nate Silver - IMD

Get the IMDb AppView Full SiteHelpSite IndexIMDbProBox Office MojoIMDb DeveloperPress RoomAdvertisingJobsConditions of UsePrivacy PolicyInterest-Based Ads© 1990-2020 by IMDb.com, Inc.Bernie Sanders’ supporters are angry after a recent tweet from Nate Silver, editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight, referred to some of Bernie Sanders’ followers as “residue.” Silver, meanwhile, has doubled down on Twitter defending what he wrote. Here’s what’s happening.

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View Nate Silver's profile on LinkedIn, the world's largest professional community. Nate has 2 jobs listed on their profile. Nathan Silver. Consultant at Boston Consulting Group (BCG) My fellow #ResidueForBernie supporters at recent #Massdems state convention. I see @NateSilver538, the Bernie Bros smear does not work any longer.@briebriejoy @ninaturner pic.twitter.com/cTCme1TgL5 Nate Silver Ретвитнул(а) Bill Scher. Clinton advisers warn that Biden spending too much time in Wisconsin. (In all seriousness though I think the organizing part of Bernie's campaign is/was impressive

Video: Bernie Supporters Angered at Nate Silver 'Residue' Tweet Heavy

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I am Nate Silver, editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight

  1. Nate Silver unloaded Saturday on the Huffington Post's Ryan Grim, who accused the polling guru and founder of the prediction website fivethirtyeight.com of changing the results of polls to fit where he..
  2. ation..
  3. Silver's considerable smarts are already helping local campaigns build constituencies and strategize. He is the author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't. 
  4. g Barack Obama's Florida victory is confirmed
  5. level 267 points · 4 years ago · edited 4 years agoSomething I thought Nate may have responded here with is an oddity in the UK Elections. There's what's known as a "Secret Tory" voter. People who say in all of the questionnaires/data that they're not going to vote Tory, and even in the Exit Polls, very few people say they've voted Tory. Then every election, without fail, there's a huge boost in the number of Tory votes compared to the predictions & gathered data.
  6. Because of this, while it might be the first preference of more people than anyone else, he isn't the second, third, or forth preference (etc) for many.

Nate Silver. 177K likes. Contact Nate Silver on Messenger Nathaniel Read Silver is an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball and elections . For faster navigation, this Iframe is preloading the Wikiwand page for Nate Silver Nate Silver Whacks Media for Reporting on 'Rise' in Coronavirus Cases; Axios Seems to Agree. Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight Has Biden as a Near Lock, 88% Chance at Delegate Majority Compared.. Nathaniel Read Nate Silver is probably a witch. After making a fuck-ton of money through online poker (in its relative infancy when it mostly attracted people with more money than poker skill) he made a name for himself by becoming a political statistician..

Hi Nate! High school math teacher here. Right now, just about all top high school math programs offer a rigorous calculus class, but not all offer a solid statistics course (like AP Stat). When offered, a statistics course is often seen as secondary to Calculus. How big of a leak, if at all, do you think that represents in our current secondary curriculum? By the way – loved your book and shared sections of it with my students, specifically sections of the chapter with Haralabos Voulgaris.TED.com translations are made possible by volunteer translators. Learn more about the Open Translation Project.level 2Randy Olson | Viz Practitioner71 points · 4 years ago · edited 4 years agoI'm going to start taking note of questions here like this for our weekly r/DataIsBeautiful open discussion threads. Great question!UPDATE: Hi everyone. Thank you for your questions I have to get back and interview a job candidate. I hope you keep checking out FiveThirtyEight we have some really cool and more ambitious projects coming up this fall. If you're interested in submitting work, or applying for a job we're not that hard to find. Again, thanks for the questions, and we'll do this again sometime soon.

One might ask Nate Silver, the data whiz behind FiveThirtyEight.com, which shot to prominence after providing eerily accurate forecasts of the 2008 election, what makes for good predictions. His answer will come as a surprise. In his new book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail But Some Don’t, Silver explains the […] Nate Silver — This article is about the author and statistician. For the American football player, see Nate Silver (quarterback). Nate Silver Born Nathaniel Read Silver January 13, 1978 (1978-01-13) (age 33)[1] East Lansing, Michigan Residence Brooklyn.. Hi Nate! Care to share your personal forecast for the trajectory and outcome of Donald Trump’s candidacy for President on the eve of the first major debate? To date his success in the polls seem to repeatedly defy statistical forecasts and predictions, not to mention media opinions of his presumed lack of viability as a “serious” candidate. Doesn’t this widespread dismissal share similarity to what the pollsters said about Ronald Reagan prior to him being elected President?In his TEDTalk, blogger and statistics whiz Nate Silver explained how race may have affected the 2008 election. In this interview with the TEDBlog he further explores the relationships between urban spaces, race and President Obama. Here’s an excerpt: I see Obama as being our first urban president in a long time. His racial heritage […] Nate Silver. About 212 results (7.05 seconds). r/NMSCoordinateExchange. u/TheMysteriousFizzyJ. @NateSilver538

Nate Silver on FiveThirtyEight's Election Day Forecast - YouTub

  1. It's a great anomaly, because all of the pollsters know it's there, and they even account for it sometimes, and still they predict incorrectly every election. The best thing about the most recent election is that Ipso Moray polling company came out and said the day after the election that (paraphrased) "all of our predictions were exactly 6% out the entire way through the campaign. We adjusted all of the models and it fits perfectly, the data actually shows Labour with a meteoric rise in the last 3 weeks leading up to the election"
  2. At the time of his tweet, there was a clear line between three top candidates and the rest. Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Joe Biden were consistently polling in double digits while the other Democratic candidates were polling consistently in single digits. Biden was still typically leading, but Warren was seeing some improvements and sometimes placing second instead of Sanders. But Sanders and Warren were still typically switching back and forth between second and third place.
  3. em in nature — dismissing Silver as nothing more than an "effe
  4. The risk for other candidates is that they run out of money before this consolidation can benefit them.

212 best Nate Silver images on Pholder NMS Coordinate Exchange

Nate Silver once got bit by a rattle snake. After three days of pain and agony... the rattle snake died. Nate Silver doesn't call the wrong number. You answer the wrong phone. Nate Silver can speak.. On Facebook someone else pointed out that if a Republican had tweeted the same, they’d be demolished and not defended.

Nate Silver Quotes (Author of The Signal and the Noise

One might ask Nate Silver, the data whiz behind FiveThirtyEight.com, which shot to prominence after providing eerily accurate forecasts of the 2008 election, what makes for good predictions The controversy started when Silver was discussing Sanders’ recent poll numbers in Iowa. The poll showed Elizabeth Warren leading Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders, Des Moines Register reported.  Warren had 22 percent in the poll, compared to Biden’s 20 percent and Sanders’ 11 percent. Someone on Twitter noted that a positive sign for Sanders was that his support is more diverse than it was in 2016. That’s when Silver’s controversial tweet was made. Nate Silver is an American statistician who analyzes baseball and elections. He has also established himself as a successful writer of America. He became popular when he correctly predicted the winners..

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Nate Silver rages at Huffington Post editor in 14-part - POLITIC

View discussions in 3 other communitieslevel 1898 points · 4 years agoCan you remember a time where the use of statistics dramatically changed your opinion on something? A scenario where the stats disproved many of your preconceived notions about a topic?What is his fault, however, is when he endorsed and co-wrote an article titled "Bernie Sanders may win Iowa and New Hampshire - and lose everything else,"[8] which certainly wasn't very accurate at all. Another fuck-up occurred when he insisted that Donald Trump would not win the Republican presidential nomination[9] despite repeated polling evidence showing that Trump was leading; Silver himself admitted that he was dead wrong about this one.[10] He's since admitted using punditry for this election cycle rather than just sticking to his raw-numbers analysis.[11] Silver wrote in response: “Not sure Bernie should get credit for having more diverse support than last time given that he has far less support than last time. A lot of voters have left him. White liberals have been particularly likely to leave him (for Warren) so the residue of what’s left is more diverse.” [-] NateSilver_538Nate Silver - FiveThirtyEight[S] 201 очко202 очка203 очка 1 год назад (6 дочерних комментарев). I am not quite the right person to answer this, but we rely on a combination..

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Numbers nerd Nate Silver's forecasts prove all right on election nigh

David Wasserman | Institute of Politics | The UniversityIt’s Too Early for Liberals to Gloat About Trump

Top 25 Nate Silver Fact

17 K-Pop Male Idols Who Slay the Quick Silver Hair • Kpopmap25 Photos that Prove WINNER Mino's Sexy Charisma • Kpopmap
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